← Abyssal Heaven Regionals

Wind AlliesTier 1

at Abyssal Heaven Regionals

decks
6 (16.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
34 20-13-1
overall winrate
60.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.5% avg ELO +4.8 per match
expected value
51.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1169 · median 1142 · range 1111–1313 (6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058 Q1 1143 Q3 1305 1382
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Exia 8.1% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 54.6% +3.0
Slimes 8.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.7% -16.5
Wind Astra Cleric 8.1% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.0% +1.3
Fire Crux Mage 5.4% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 59.5% +7.1
Fire Slimes 5.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.5% +15.2
Water Fractal 5.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.1% -15.9
Water Genbu 5.4% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 58.0% +5.1
Wind Razorgale 5.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.1% +13.0
Wind Shadowstrike 5.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.3% -1.1
Fire Aggro 2.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.3% -14.0
Fire Firebloom Burn 2.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.3% -14.0
Fire Suzaku 2.7% 0
Water Astra Cleric 2.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.4% +15.0
Water Neos 2.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.4% +13.4
Water Ravishing Mill 2.7% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 72.5% +21.6
Water Tera Mage 2.7% 0
Wind Beast 2.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.1% +13.0
Wind Byakko 2.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.1% +13.0
Wind Diana 2.7% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 65.4% +14.8
Wind Luxem Zander 2.7% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 39.2% -10.3
Wind Neos 2.7% 0
Wind Overlord 2.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.3% +14.9
Wind Seiryuu 2.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.5% +16.9
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 48 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 48 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Huaji of Heaven's Rise -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Eternal Directive -1.00 0 1 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon -1.00 0 1 0
Armored Valkyrie -1.00 0 1 0
Heavy Swing +1.00 1 0 0
Fire Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Water Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Unbroken Mustang -1.00 0 1 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +1.00 1 0 0
Charged Mannequin -1.00 0 1 0
Attune with the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Eye of Argus +1.00 1 0 0
Mystic Purifier +1.00 1 0 0
Vigilant Sentry +1.00 1 0 0
Woodland Squirrels +1.00 1 0 0
Tempest Downfall -1.00 0 1 0
Sword of Seeking -1.00 0 1 0
Rallied Advance -1.00 0 1 0
Windrider Vanguard +1.00 1 0 0
Deflecting Edge +1.00 1 0 0
Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster -1.00 0 1 0
Tonoris, Lone Mercenary +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Clarent, Reimagined -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Manufacture Cell -1.00 0 1 0
Andronika, Eternal Herald -1.00 0 1 0
Imperial Recruit +1.00 1 0 0
Wind Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Magistrate -1.00 0 1 0
Favorable Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Cell Vanguard -1.00 0 1 0
Poisoned Coating Oil +1.00 1 0 0
Bulwark Sword +1.00 1 0 0
Swift Recruit +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers -1.00 0 1 0
Unrelenting Warden +1.00 1 0 0
Overlord Mk III -1.00 0 1 0
Clarent, Sword of Peace -1.00 0 1 0
Brisk Windtrotter -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Lorraine, Wandering Warrior -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Censer of Restful Peace -1.00 0 1 0
Counter Interference -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/25943/archetypes/Wind Allies